EXP-008: Digital Gold Market Research — Round 2 Analysis

Islamabad & Rawalpindi + Karachi · Feb 21–25, 2026 · 40 Interviews across two parallel arms

40 Interviews ISB/RWP n=20 · Feb 21–22 Karachi n=20 · Feb 24–25 Faisal Soomro (Karachi arm)
M

Interview Method — Sequential Sentiment Funnel

Who We Interviewed

EasyPaisa and JazzCash agents — these are small shopkeepers (grocery stores, mobile phone shops, general stores) who have a sticker on their door showing they're authorised agents for EasyPaisa or JazzCash, Pakistan's two dominant mobile money networks. Their day job is processing cash-in and cash-out for customers: someone walks in with Rs 5,000 cash, the agent transfers it digitally; someone else needs to withdraw, the agent hands them the cash. In return, they earn a small commission on every transaction.

We chose this group specifically because they already sell digital financial services for commission, already have a daily stream of customers doing money transactions, and are already comfortable operating a mobile app for financial products. If anyone could sell digital gold in urban Pakistan, it's them.  ISB/RWP arm: 20 agents · Feb 21–22, 2026 · Islamabad & Rawalpindi (audio + transcripts). Karachi arm: 20 agents · Feb 24–25, 2026 · Clifton, DHA, Gulshan-e-Iqbal, Malir (Faisal Soomro; form data only — no audio).

What Changed From Round 1
Round 1 Problem Round 2 Fix
Premium savings never mentioned Led with: "Jewelers charge 5–6% extra — that's Rs 30,000–40,000 per tola. This app gives real market price"
Redemption was vague ("can come in physical form") Said explicitly: "Buy and sell instantly — just hit a button. Want physical gold? Delivery from Dubai vault in about a week"
Fractional access unclear ("any amount") Said: "Even Rs 500 buys real gold"
Tested dollars AND gold together Gold-only pitch — dollars not mentioned at all
No sentiment tracking per section Reaction captured after each part — this is how we measure what moves people
Trust barriers not addressed Pitch proactively covers: vault location, instant transactions, physical delivery
Section 1 — Baseline (1 minute)
Purpose: Understand if gold is already on their radar and if they know about jeweler markups.
Q1
"Gold has been everywhere lately — people around you have probably been talking about it, you've seen in the news the market has gone up. Have you been hearing more about gold recently?"
→ Wait for answer. Note their response. Measures: is gold already in the shopkeeper's world, or are we introducing a concept they've never thought about?
Q2
"Do you know how much extra a jeweler charges over the market price?"
→ Wait for answer. Most won't know the exact number — that's fine, it sets up the premium argument in Section 2. Measures: markup awareness baseline.
Section 2 — The Gold Pitch (2–3 minutes)
Purpose: Deliver the pitch in 3 parts. Pause after each part to capture the merchant's unfiltered reaction before moving on.
Part A — Product Introduction
SAY: "Imagine real gold, on your phone. Stored in a secure vault in Dubai. You can buy as little as Rs 500 worth — and it's real gold, yours."
Q3
"What's your first reaction to that?"
→ Note their initial sentiment before you explain the economics. This is the baseline we compare Q4 against.
Part B — Premium Economics ← The Key Part
SAY: "Here's the thing about jewelers — they charge 5–6% over the real market price. On one tola, that's an extra Rs 30,000 to 40,000. With this app, you buy at the real price. No markup."
→ This is the most important moment. Watch their face. Did they lean in? Light up? Stay flat?
Q4
"If your customers could skip that jeweler markup and get gold at real market price, would they be interested?"
→ Did their sentiment change from Q3? This is our #1 metric. A merchant who was skeptical at Q3 but positive at Q4 = the economics argument worked. No change = it didn't move them. R2 result: 8/20 (40%) shifted positive — below the 50% threshold we needed.
Part C — Instant Access + Redemption
SAY: "Buying and selling is instant — just hit a button. Want physical gold? Request delivery from the vault, it reaches you in about a week. Or you can sell anytime at market price."
Q5
"Does knowing you can buy and sell instantly — and get physical delivery — change how you feel about it?"
→ Note: did this resolve any "I need gold in my hands" concerns? In Round 1 this was the #1 barrier — 4 merchants raised it unprompted.
Section 3 — Shopkeeper Buy-In (2 minutes)
Purpose: Find out if they would actually sell this product to their customers — like they do with EasyPaisa or JazzCash services.
Q6
"If you could earn commission selling this — like you do with EasyPaisa or JazzCash — would you?"
→ Note: Yes / Maybe / No. R2 result: 8/20 (40%) said yes — at the 40% threshold.
Q7
"What would you need to see before you'd feel comfortable selling this?"
→ Open-ended. Let them talk. Don't prompt — just listen and note everything. This is where barriers surface.
Q8
"Say a customer wants to buy gold for Rs 1,000. Could you tell them: 'This app gives you gold at a better price than the jeweler, and you can get it delivered whenever you want'?"
→ Note: would they feel confident making that pitch to a real customer? Can the merchant relay the value prop in their own words?
0

Executive Summary & Signal Matrix

Recommendation
ITERATE

What is this? ZAR is exploring whether it can expand from digital dollars into digital gold — gold that lives in a secure vault, bought and sold instantly through a mobile app. Round 2 ran as two parallel arms: ISB/RWP (20 interviews, Feb 21–22, Surveyor A) and Karachi (20 interviews, Feb 24–25, Faisal Soomro). Combined n=40 across three cities. Both arms tested the same pitch: jewelers charge 5–6% over real gold price (Rs 30,000–40,000 extra per tola) and this app eliminates that markup entirely.

Combined n=40 result: Q4 sentiment shift at 43% (17/40 — below threshold, +3pp vs ISB/RWP alone). Distribution willingness at 52% (21/40 — above threshold). Karachi hit 45% Q4 shift and 65% Q6 — above ISB/RWP. A new Karachi-specific barrier emerged: shop-type mismatch ("meri mobile ki dukaan hai, iska taluq sonay se hai hi nai") dominated 12/20 responses. The fraud/scam-app memory barrier is universal across both cities.

The jeweler markup argument fell below bar in combined data. The institutional trust gap and shop-type mismatch are the remaining blockers. Round 3 should target gold-adjacent shops with a physical company anchor in place.

Next action: Design Round 3 with (1) gold-adjacent shop targets, (2) physical institutional anchor, (3) vault certificate artifact. No callback was conducted in either city.
🟢
Behavioral Demand
Threshold: ≥3 merchants
~7 / 40
GREEN
🔴
Q4 Sentiment Shift
Threshold: ≥50% · ISB 40%, KHI 45%
43% (17/40)
RED — below threshold
🟢
Distribution Willingness
Threshold: ≥40% · ISB 40%, KHI 65%
52% (21/40)
GREEN
48h Callback
Threshold: ≥30% all 3 gates
Not done
N/A
1

Cross-Round & Cross-City Comparison

Round 1 — Rawalpindi (n=14)

DateFeb 12, 2026
Markup pitch tested0/14
Positive sentiment5/14 (36%)
Top barrierPhysical possession

R2 — ISB/RWP (n=20)

DatesFeb 21–22, 2026
Q4 shift8/20 (40%)
Q6 distribution8/20 (40%)
Top barrierFraud/scam memory
#2 barrierPhysical possession

R2 — Karachi (n=20) NEW

DatesFeb 24–25, 2026
Q4 shift9/20 (45%) ↑
Q6 distribution13/20 (65%) ↑
Top barrierShop-type mismatch
#2 barrierFraud/scam memory
Metric R1 (n=14) R2 ISB/RWP (n=20) R2 Karachi (n=20) Combined R2 (n=40)
Q4 positive shift Not tested 8/20 (40%) 9/20 (45%) 17/40 (43%)
Distribution willingness (Q6) Not tested 8/20 (40%) 13/20 (65%) 21/40 (52%)
#1 barrier Physical possession Fraud/scam memory Shop-type mismatch Fraud + mismatch
Authenticity demand ~8/14 ~15/20 ~15/20 ~30/40 — universal
Behavioral signals ~2 4 confirmed 3 borderline ~7 total
Robbery paranoia barrier 0 0 1 (K-11) Karachi-unique
Karachi hit 45% Q4 shift vs ISB/RWP's 40% — the markup argument lands slightly better in Karachi, possibly because merchants there have more daily exposure to gold price fluctuations. A new dominant barrier emerged in Karachi: shop-type mismatch — 12/20 explicitly said their mobile/communications shop has nothing to do with gold. The authenticity/fraud barrier is universal across both cities and will not resolve without an institutional anchor.
2

Q4 Sentiment Shift — Critical Metric

What is "Q4 shift"? The interview delivers the pitch in stages. After Q3 (the merchant hears "real gold on your phone, Rs 500 minimum"), we record their gut reaction. Then we deliver the markup argument — "jewelers charge Rs 50–80K extra per tola; this app gives the real rate." Q4 asks: does that economics argument change their mind? A "shifted" merchant was neutral or skeptical at Q3, then said "yes, customers would be interested" at Q4. "No shift" means the markup argument didn't move them. This is the single most important metric: we're testing whether one specific economic argument can unlock merchant sentiment.
Q4 Reaction to Jeweler Markup Argument — by city (ISB/RWP n=20, Karachi n=20, Combined n=40)
ISB/RWP: 40% (8/20) — below threshold Karachi: 45% (9/20) — below threshold Combined: 43% (17/40) — below threshold (RED)
ISB/RWP arm — n=20 · Feb 21–22
ID Overall Segment Q3 Baseline Q4 Shift Terra Archetype Key Quote / Signal
R2-01 Skeptical Confused/hesitant — "I don't know" No shift Compliance Gatekeeper ⚠️ "It is difficult." (Q4 on customer interest) · "If it is legal, we will do it — need proof from government." (Q6 barrier)
R2-02 Excited Positive — investment asset Shifted ↑ Strong Self-Directed Investor "I will buy from the app, not the market. I'm more interested in the app."
R2-03 Skeptical Positive concept, vague No shift Hollow Agreer ⚠️ "No idea of this. Customer will come here."
R2-04 Skeptical Skeptical — concept unclear No shift Conceptually Stranded "It is difficult." (Q4 on customer interest)
R2-05 Skeptical 50/50 on trust ("50-50 whether to trust") No shift Fraud-Scarred Gatekeeper "Opinion on digital platforms is not good. Mostly such apps are made in vain."
R2-06 Curious Interested if rate differs Moderate ↑ Analytical Deal-Structurer "Buy one gram every month — that will be my investment and also my asset."
R2-07 Negative Dismissive ("not there") Shifted ↓ Neg Wrong-Category Refusal "No, this is not our work. We only have what we have."
R2-08 Excited Interested — no major objection Shifted ↑ Strong Natural Advocate Willingly engaged through full pitch, would educate customers.
R2-09 Curious Never bought gold, open Moderate ↑ Margin-Proof Pragmatist "Definitely should happen — if you save even 20–30K per tola, that's enough."
R2-10 Excited Very good — investment angle Shifted ↑ Strong Community Evangelist "Will tell customers, friends, and all family members."
R2-11 Skeptical No prior gold exposure No shift Presumed-Guilty Skeptic "Is this illegal? Fraud is everywhere in Pakistan. I'll save myself."
R2-12 Skeptical Trust is prerequisite No shift Bandwidth-Capped Understander ⚠️ "If trust is built, many people will do it. No need to go to the market."
R2-13 Excited Very positive — Easy Money parallel Shifted ↑ Strong Easy Money Migrant "Every second person is on Easy Money. This will go forward, Insha Allah."
R2-14 Negative Skeptical — "invisible gold" No shift Physical-Trust Absolutist "In Rs 500, that would be invisible gold. Physically, it won't be there."
R2-15 Curious Neutral/uncertain — "I did not like Gold Tower" Shifted ↑ Scam-Survivor Convenience Convert "Then there is no need to go to the shop." (direct Q4 response to savings argument) · COD preference as residual barrier.
R2-16 Skeptical Skeptical — scam app named No shift Trust-Bankrupt Historian "Fraudulent investment apps came, people invested millions — it all collapsed. Without government approval, no."
R2-17 Curious Willing to experiment small — "we should try to experiment" Shifted ↑ Structured Incremental Tester "Yes it happens, trust is built." (Q4) · "If commission, I'll represent it — test it myself first for reliability, then refer." (Q6)
R2-18 Skeptical Interested but distracted No shift One-Shop Capacity Wall "One extra task disturbs us. One shop, one job. That's our experience."
R2-19 Skeptical Curious — CS student No shift Market-Pull Demander ⚠️ "Privacy and transaction security are two main things in building trust."
R2-20 Curious Positive — investment-minded ("great initiative") No shift Conservative Commission Calculator "If the commission is good, we can do our best. Need govt connection and physical firm proof first." (50-50, conditional)
Karachi arm — n=20 · Feb 24–25 · Faisal Soomro · No audio, form data only
K-01 Interested Flat — "happy if middleman doesn't get his cut" · Clifton Shifted ↑ Middleman-Math Converter "Yes, they will be interested if the middleman doesn't take his cut." Wants tangible gold only.
K-02 Neutral Express doubt — never heard of digital gold · Clifton Mild ↑ Physical-Only Conditional "He will be happy if the middleman and extra charges are cut out." First time hearing about digital gold.
K-03 Skeptical Flat — channel mismatch from the start · Clifton Shifted ↑ Channel-Mismatch Deflector "It feels nice but physical form is better. My mobile shop has nothing to do with gold." (Q7: "Wrong shop.")
K-04 Excited Lit up — "gold going up daily, who knows where it'll end" · Clifton Already positive Natural Opener "Happy if middleman doesn't get his cut. Home delivery would be even better." Commission-motivated.
K-05 Neutral Flat — asked to see the demo app · Clifton Mild ↑ Demo Demander "Yes, interested — but wants authenticity certificate and not digital form. Who dislikes incoming money?"
K-06 Negative "Pakistan = scammers; Dubai ones will be bigger" · DHA No shift Scam-Country Absolutist "Pakistan can't buy locally — why buy from Dubai? Purchasing power is the main concern."
K-07 Skeptical Flat, least interested · DHA Conditional Wrong-Audience Defeatist "We'll take it — but customers fight over Rs 10-15 here. Who will buy real gold from us?"
K-08 Skeptical Express doubt · DHA Mild ↑ Polite Convert w/ Knowledge Gap "This is a good thing." But: "Customers will still go to their goldsmith — fraud history in Pakistan."
K-09 Curious Flat — low engagement · Malir area Partial Willing-But-Broke Float Blocker "I want to buy — but I don't have capital to stock it. And who buys gold from a phone shop?" (Eyes widened)
K-10 Skeptical Express doubt · Gulshan Mild ↑ Authenticity-Gated Interested "Interested — but can I sell it in the open market? Will goldsmiths give me a good price?"
K-11 Negative Flat — robbery fear · Gulshan No shift Robbery-Paranoia Refuser "If word gets out I hold digital gold, someone will have my home robbed." (Unique Karachi barrier)
K-12 Curious Express doubt · Gulshan Shifted ↑ Privacy Skeptic "Interested — but safety concerns, privacy breach, data theft." (Q6: Maybe)
K-13 Curious Flat · Gulshan Shifted ↑ Commission Chaser "Interested — how much commission? Will I get profit on 4-5 tola?" Asked follow-up Qs. Strong signal.
K-14 Negative "Gold can never exist on an app — hard commodity only" · Gulshan No shift Complete Refuser ⚠️ "No — still in doubt." (Q6 form = Yes, context = No — politeness noise)
K-15 Negative Flat — scam impression · Gulshan No shift Category Absolutist "If I had a gold shop, I'd sell it. My mobile shop has nothing to do with gold. Wrong place."
K-16 Negative Express doubt — no gold category awareness · Gulshan No shift Concept Stranger "Bad — it's not possible in today's times. I won't sell it." Complete blank slate.
K-17 Skeptical "Hard commodity — cannot exist on app" · Gulshan Conditional Physical-Presence Demander "Yes — but will it be original? Need a physical company outlet. What if you shut down?" (Eyebrows raised)
K-18 Interested Not interested initially · Gulshan Shifted ↑ Financial Literacy Pessimist "Yes — but I only have a communications shop. Certificate + physical presence needed."
K-19 Curious Flat · Gulshan Partial Reluctant Opener "Yes, interested — but target market isn't financially literate enough to buy gold independently."
K-20 Neutral Express doubt · Gulshan Ambiguous ⚠️ Shop-Owner Ambivalent "Yes he was not interested" (contradictory form). Safety/regulation concerns. Follow-ups but no eye contact.
Pattern: The 4 strong ISB/RWP shifts (R2-02, R2-08, R2-10, R2-13) all had pre-existing markup awareness. In Karachi, 5 strong shifts (K-01, K-04, K-12, K-13, K-18) + 4 mild (K-02, K-05, K-08, K-10) = 9/20 positive responses. The new dominant Karachi-specific barrier — shop-type mismatch — appeared in 12/20 responses and was nearly absent in ISB/RWP. Authenticity certificate demand is universal across both cities.
3

Merchant Segments

Combined n=40 (ISB/RWP + Karachi)
Excited / Interested
~23%
ISB: R2-02, R2-08, R2-10, R2-13
KHI: K-01, K-04, K-13, K-18
~9 merchants
🔍
Curious / Conditional
~28%
ISB: R2-06, R2-09, R2-15, R2-17, R2-20
KHI: K-03, K-07, K-09, K-12, K-17, K-19
~11 merchants
⚖️
Skeptical
~38%
ISB: R2-01, R2-03, R2-04, R2-05, R2-11, R2-12, R2-16, R2-18, R2-19
KHI: K-02, K-05, K-08, K-10, K-20
~14 merchants
✖️
Negative / Refusal
~18%
ISB: R2-07, R2-14
KHI: K-06, K-11, K-14, K-15, K-16
~7 merchants
Karachi-specific sub-archetypes (new in R2): (1) Shop-type mismatch — Channel-Mismatch Deflector (K-03), Category Absolutist (K-15), Wrong-Audience Defeatist (K-07); (2) Purchasing-power ceiling — Willing-But-Broke Float Blocker (K-09); (3) Robbery paranoia — Robbery-Paranoia Refuser (K-11). ⚠️ Politeness noise flagged: R2-01, R2-03, R2-12, R2-19, K-14, K-20 — surface agreeableness did not reflect genuine intent.
4

Top 5 Barriers

Barrier Frequency — Combined n=40 (ISB/RWP + Karachi) · * = Karachi-unique
# Barrier Freq % Key Quote Addressable?
1 Fraud/legitimacy — memory of scam investment apps
10
50% "Those investment apps came, people put in millions — it all collapsed. You can't just walk in and say digital." (R2-16) Partially
Needs institutional proof
2 Physical possession anxiety
6
30% "That would be invisible gold. Physically, it won't be there." (R2-14) Yes
Vault cert + redemption demo
3 Regulatory/government backing absent
5
25% "If government approves it, people will come. Without that — no." (R2-16) Partially
Legal clarity doc
4 Mechanics / hidden deductions
4
20% "If no deduction is taken, full money comes — that's the benefit." (R2-18) Yes
Explicit fee disclosure
5 Operational burden / extra workload
~6
15% "One shop, one job. That's our experience. Extra work disturbs us." (R2-18) Partially
Minimal-friction UX
6 Shop-type mismatch Karachi-unique
~12
30% (KHI) "If I had a gold shop, I'd sell it. My mobile shop has nothing to do with gold. Wrong place." (K-15) · "Who will buy gold from a phone shop?" (K-07) Hard
Target shop type problem
7 Purchasing-power ceiling Karachi-unique
~5
13% (KHI) "Customers in our area fight over Rs 10-15. Who will buy real gold from us?" (K-07) Hard
Location/catchment problem
8 Robbery paranoia Karachi-unique
1
3% (KHI) "If word gets out I hold digital gold, someone will have my home robbed." (K-11) Hard
Community-trust environment needed
R2 combined barrier insight: Shop-type mismatch is the dominant new finding from Karachi — 12/20 Karachi merchants explicitly said communications shops are the wrong channel for gold. This barrier barely appeared in ISB/RWP. The fraud/trust barrier remains #1 universally. Three Karachi-unique barriers (shop mismatch, purchasing power, robbery paranoia) suggest Karachi distribution strategy needs different shop targeting than ISB/RWP.
5

Behavioral Signals Tracker

~7 / 40 — GREEN ✓ (threshold ≥3)
ISB/RWP arm (4 confirmed)
Action Observed Merchant Evidence Signal Type
Volunteered to buy through app unprompted R2-02 "I will buy from the app, not the market. Will also check the price." Purchase intent
Asked about launch date / current status R2-09 Asked how intraday gold works, when app launches Timing urgency
Compared to Easy Money — said "will go forward" R2-10 "If app is launched and everything is as stated — very good." Would tell all family. Referral intent
Drew Easy Money parallel independently; wanted WhatsApp R2-13 "Every second person is on Easy Money. If trustable, no doubt — will buy and add." Referral + distribute
Karachi arm (3 borderline — form data, no audio verification)
Action Observed Merchant Evidence Signal Type
Eyes widened, leaned forward — ops-specific questions K-09 "I want to buy — but I don't have capital to stock it." Leaned forward, eyes widened. Operational specificity signals genuine intent. Purchase intent (blocked)
Asked about multi-tola commission math unprompted K-13 "How much commission? Will I get profit on 4-5 tola of sales?" — high-volume merchant thinking, not just curiosity. Distribution intent
Eyebrows raised; asked follow-up questions about market acceptance K-17 "Will it be original? Can I sell it in the open market? Will goldsmiths give me a good price?" Conditional yes with specificity. Conditional demand signal
Key pattern: ISB/RWP behavioral signals are clean and confirmed (audio-backed). Karachi signals are form-reported and borderline — K-09 and K-13 are the strongest. K-13 asking about 4-5 tola commission math is the most commercially actionable Karachi signal. No Karachi merchant reached the level of R2-13 (Easy Money parallel + WhatsApp request).
6

Trust Infrastructure Gap

🔴 Universal Problems (Both Cities)

  • 3+ ISB merchants + 8+ Karachi merchants named fraudulent apps — community memory, not individual skepticism
  • The damage spread socially: "digital gold app" → scam is a learned reflex across urban Pakistan
  • Karachi-new: shop-type mismatch dominates — 12/20 said "meri dukaan mobile ki hai, sonay se taluq nahi"
  • Karachi-new: purchasing-power ceiling in some catchments — customers argue over Rs 10-15

🟠 What Won't Work

  • More messaging or a better pitch deck
  • Additional features (won't help if foundation is absent)
  • "Vault in Dubai" framing — further away = less verifiable, not more secure
  • Enthusiasm from the ambassador
  • Small commissions as trust proxies
  • Targeting generic communications shops in low-income catchments (Karachi learning)

🟢 Required Trust Stack + Target Fix

  • Institutional anchor — named PK bank or regulated partner on screen
  • Regulatory clarity doc — SBP/SECP acknowledgement or legal brief
  • Physical proof — vault certificate, ideally with PK auditor
  • Community proof — existing merchants who used redemption (show, don't tell)
  • Shop targeting fix — gold-adjacent shops: jewelers, pawn shops, savings agents, not pure comm shops
7

Key Quotes Gallery

"

I will buy from the app, not the market. I'm more interested in the app. Because everything is happening online — if it becomes safe and secure, it's much better.

R2-02 Excited Q4 — Markup Argument
"

Every second person is on Easy Money. There's no phone without it. Insha Allah, this will also go forward. If it's a trustable app, there's no doubt — will buy and recommend.

R2-13 Excited Q3–Q4
"

I will tell my customers. I will tell my friends. I will tell everyone in my family. I will also agree — it is a good thing that a person can carry.

R2-10 Excited Q6 Distribution
"

If it is real then — 100% we will buy it. Now there are so many customers on Easy Money. On this also, Insha Allah will take us forward again.

R2-13 Excited Q3 First Reaction
"

In Rs 500, what gold will be there? That would be invisible gold. Physically, there will not be gold there. Until a person sees something in front of his eyes, he doesn't trust it.

R2-14 Negative Q3 First Reaction
"

Those apps came. People invested at high percentage returns. The app closed. Millions and crores went. Without government approval — I cannot recommend this to anyone.

R2-16 Skeptical Q5 Trust
"

Is this illegal or legal? In Pakistan, fraud is happening. A person who has a little album will save himself. He won't do it without understanding.

R2-11 Skeptical Q7 Barriers
"

Take Rs 1,000 first. Check it — if withdrawal is easy, there's no hurdle, the person's trust will build. Then step by step, Rs 10,000, Rs 1 lakh. It's all about reliability and easy access.

R2-17 Curious Q3 First Reaction
"

If you save even 20–30K per tola, that's enough. Definitely should happen. [Unprompted:] If there is a notice or banner so customers can see there's such an option in this shop — I'd guide everyone.

R2-09 Curious Structural Insight
"

Buy one gram from the app every month. I can't afford a full tola now — but 10 months of Rs 500–1,000 and that's my investment and my asset. That's the idea that gives more value.

R2-06 Curious Structural Insight — Fractional
Karachi Voices
"

Yes, they will be interested if the middleman doesn't take his cut. If the gold is a genuine tangible asset, only then will I sell it.

K-01 Interested Q4 — Clifton
"

Interested — how much commission? Will I get profit on 4-5 tola of sales? How can you compete? Apps like this come and go — if you leave tomorrow, people will come after me.

K-13 Commission Chaser Q4/Q6/Q8 — Gulshan
"

If I had a gold shop, I'd sell it. My mobile shop has nothing to do with gold. You came to the wrong place.

K-15 Category Absolutist Q7 — Gulshan · Shop-type mismatch
"

If word gets out that I have gold in this shop, someone will rob my house. Safety concern is the main thing.

K-11 Robbery-Paranoia Refuser Q8 — Gulshan · Karachi-unique barrier
"

Yes — but will it be original? Can I sell it in the open market? Will all goldsmiths give me a good price for it? Your company outlet and physical store — where can I get it?

K-17 Physical-Presence Demander Q4/Q7 — Gulshan · Conditional yes
"

Customers in our area fight over Rs 10-15. Who will buy real gold from us? People come in for Rs 300-400 headphones and still argue. No one will buy, brother.

K-07 Wrong-Audience Defeatist Summary note — DHA · Purchasing-power barrier
8

Terra Field Reads — What ambassadors will actually face

Terra is ZAR's Ground Force Coach. For each merchant: archetype label, politeness flag where applicable, and a 1-line read on what an ambassador walks into. ⚠️ marks merchants whose surface signals are politeness noise — R2-01, R2-03, R2-12, R2-19, K-14, K-20. Ambassadors should not leave those visits feeling encouraged.
TERRA // FIELD ASSESSMENT — 40 MERCHANTS · R2 ISB/RWP + KARACHI · FEB 2026
ISB/RWP arm (20 merchants)
01
Compliance Gatekeeper ⚠️ politeness noise

Field read: Ambassador gets a polite hearing then a wall — "come back when you have government paperwork." The "if it is legal" framing is exit language dressed as openness.

02
Self-Directed Investor — clean signal

Field read: Easiest close in the set — he's already doing the pitch for you. Get him to the app screen fast before he overthinks. Quickest path to a live transaction.

03
Hollow Agreer ⚠️ politeness noise

Field read: Ambassador will mistake nodding for interest and leave thinking it went well. Zero follow-through likelihood. Don't log this as a soft-yes.

04
Conceptually Stranded — clean signal

Field read: Must run a basic product explainer before any pitch lands — fractional gold is not intuitive here. Skip the ROI argument until unit size clicks.

05
Fraud-Scarred Gatekeeper — clean signal

Field read: He volunteers his scam story within two minutes. Let him finish it, never dismiss it, then anchor every claim to a verifiable third party — SECP, SBP, physical office address.

06
Analytical Deal-Structurer — clean signal

Field read: He will propose his own purchase plan and then interrogate every line item. Ambassador needs a printed fee/tax schedule or this stalls at "I need the full picture first."

07
Wrong-Category Refusal — clean signal

Field read: Nothing to work with. Ambassador should qualify faster and exit — time spent here is dead time.

08
Natural Advocate — clean signal

Field read: Walk in, show the app, hand him talking points — he will brief his own customers. Ambassador's job is activation, not persuasion.

09
Margin-Proof Pragmatist — clean signal

Field read: Logic worked but he needs a concrete margin number in rupees per sale before he commits. Abstract percentage arguments won't close him.

10
Community Evangelist — clean signal

Field read: Ask him directly who else he would tell and use that as a referral warm-lead list on the spot. One satisfied R2-10 converts others.

11
Presumed-Guilty Skeptic — clean signal

Field read: First question will be about legality. Ambassador must open with regulatory standing and a physical address before anything else — otherwise the conversation never starts.

12
Bandwidth-Capped Understander ⚠️ politeness noise

Field read: Ambassador gets genuine comprehension and zero commitment. "If we have the time" is a soft deflection, not a real condition. Follow-up needs a frictionless onboarding path or this never converts.

13
Easy Money Migrant — clean signal

Field read: Mental model already mapped. Ambassador's fastest path is confirming the commission rate matches or beats his current mobile money margin — that single number closes or kills it.

14
Physical-Trust Absolutist — clean signal

Field read: Category violation, not feature objection. Digital gold is philosophically wrong to a jeweler whose entire value system is tactile proof. Don't try to overcome this in one visit.

15
Scam-Survivor Convenience Convert — clean signal

Field read: The Gold Tower reference will come up early. Name it directly, explain why ZAR is structurally different, then pivot to the COD delivery mechanics as the close.

16
Trust-Bankrupt Historian — clean signal

Field read: He knows more about failed gold apps than the ambassador does. Any claim without a government document number gets filed next to NGR in his memory. Come with SECP registration in hand or don't come.

17
Structured Incremental Tester — clean signal

Field read: He has already designed his own pilot — Rs 1,000 trial, check withdrawal, then scale. Validate that plan, don't try to accelerate it.

18
One-Shop Capacity Wall — clean signal

Field read: Objection is operational, not conceptual. Ambassador needs to show total time-on-task per transaction is under 60 seconds — or this is a hard no regardless of commission.

19
Market-Pull Demander ⚠️ politeness noise

Field read: Ambassador will walk out feeling encouraged — he'll do nothing. He needs to see customer pull before acting. Generate that pull elsewhere first, then return.

20
Conservative Commission Calculator — clean signal

Field read: He'll engage seriously only after two things are on the table simultaneously — a specific commission figure and proof of physical company presence. One without the other gets a polite "50-50."

Karachi arm (20 merchants) · Faisal Soomro · Form data only
K1
Middleman-Math Converter — clean signal

Clifton. Field read: The economics argument landed; physical possession barrier is the remaining blocker. Lead with vault certificate + delivery demo — once he sees the redemption path, this moves to confirmed yes.

K2
Physical-Only Conditional — clean signal

Clifton. Field read: First-time exposure to digital gold — he's educable. The markup argument shifted his frame. Physical delivery proof is the single unlock needed here.

K3
Channel-Mismatch Deflector — clean signal

Clifton. Field read: "My mobile shop has nothing to do with gold" is not just an excuse — it's a legitimate positioning concern. Ambassador needs to make the case for why an EP/JC agent is the ideal sales point, or accept this is a genuine mismatch.

K4
Natural Opener — clean signal

Clifton. Field read: Easiest Karachi close — gold-aware, markup-aware, commission-motivated. Get to the delivery demo fast.

K5
Demo Demander — clean signal

Clifton. Field read: He asked to see the app — show it. Then address the authenticity certificate objection directly. Shop-type mismatch is real but weaker here than in K-03.

K6
Scam-Country Absolutist — clean signal

DHA. Field read: Geographic fraud frame is nearly impossible to overcome in one cold visit. Purchasing power is the secondary blocker. Ambassador should not attempt to convert this respondent.

K7
Wrong-Audience Defeatist — clean signal

DHA. Field read: He gives a conditional yes but correctly identifies the problem — "customers fight over Rs 10-15 here." This is a genuine distribution mismatch, not a surface objection. DHA address doesn't guarantee affluent customers.

K8
Polite Convert with Knowledge Gap — clean signal

DHA. Field read: "Achi baat hai" is real, not politeness noise — but he's correctly identifying that customers default to their goldsmith. Ambassador needs a counter-argument for why a digital-first purchase at a better price beats the goldsmith visit.

K9
Willing-But-Broke Float Blocker — clean signal

Malir. Field read: Eyes widened and leaned forward — most visibly engaged body language in Karachi batch. Operational interest is real. But customer base can't support it and he can't front inventory. "Right person, wrong location" case.

K10
Authenticity-Gated Interested — clean signal

Gulshan. Field read: He's asking the right question — "can I sell it in the open market at a good price?" That's market-acceptance, not just trust. Ambassador needs an answer about resale liquidity, not just vault certificates.

K11
Robbery-Paranoia Refuser — clean signal (Karachi-unique)

Gulshan. Field read: The robbery concern is a unique Karachi-specific signal — not present in ISB/RWP at all. Ambassador cannot address this in a pitch; it requires a broader community-trust environment before this concern dissolves.

K12
Privacy Skeptic — clean signal

Gulshan. Field read: Interest is real but privacy/data concerns are the blocking point. Ambassador needs clear answers on data handling and security architecture — vague reassurances won't close this.

K13
Commission Chaser — clean signal

Gulshan. Field read: He asked about commission on 4-5 tola — that's a high-volume merchant intent signal. The commission number is the one lever. Ambassador needs a concrete per-tola rupee figure.

K14
Complete Refuser ⚠️ politeness noise on Q6

Gulshan. Field read: Concept violation, not feature objection. Q6 "Yes" is social noise — the full context is a consistent no. Nothing in this conversation is addressable without first changing his prior belief about what gold is.

K15
Category Absolutist — clean signal

Gulshan. Field read: Clearest articulation of the shop-type mismatch barrier in the Karachi batch. Ambassador should acknowledge and exit. This data point is useful for rethinking target shop profiles.

K16
Concept Stranger — clean signal

Gulshan. Field read: Complete blank slate on gold trading. No prior mental model to hook onto. This respondent was never in the target pool — ambassador qualification failed at entry.

K17
Physical-Presence Demander — clean signal

Gulshan. Field read: He moved from doubt to conditional yes — the pitch worked. The physical company presence demand is the one remaining unlock. If ZAR can show a Karachi office or named local partner, this closes.

K18
Financial Literacy Pessimist — clean signal

Gulshan. Field read: The pitch converted him but he's correctly identifying his customer base as the distribution bottleneck. Ambassador should show examples of how other low-literacy customers have bought in other cities.

K19
Reluctant Opener — clean signal

Gulshan. Field read: Interest is real but self-directed skepticism about his customer base is a proxy concern. Frame the purchase as ambassador-assisted, not customer-independent, and this objection dissolves.

K20
Shop-Owner Ambivalent ⚠️ ambiguity flag

Gulshan. Field read: Ambassador will leave with a conditional yes but engagement quality was inconsistent throughout — Q4 form response contradictory ("yes he was not interested"). Treat as soft-conditional rather than confirmed interested.

9

Recommendation & Next Steps

Combined R2 Recommendation (n=40)
ITERATE

2 of 4 signals confirmed green (distribution willingness 52%, behavioral demand ~7). Q4 shift below threshold (43%). The jeweler markup argument fell below bar in combined data — Karachi 45%. The structural blockers are (1) institutional trust gap — universal across both cities — and (2) shop-type mismatch — dominant in Karachi. Both require non-pitch solutions. Round 3 must target gold-adjacent shops with a physical institutional anchor in place.

✅ If targeting gold-adjacent shops (Round 3)

  • Source institutional anchor (PK bank or SECP-registered partner)
  • Prepare vault certificate physical artifact
  • Target jewelers, pawn shops, savings agents — not pure comm shops
  • Model commission economics (target 1–3% on sale)
  • Activate R2-13 and K-13 as beta testers (commission-motivated)
  • Retest in both ISB and Karachi with updated targeting

⚠️ Remaining open questions

  • 48h callback not done in either city — real interest level unconfirmed
  • Commission rate still undefined — needed before Round 3
  • Shop-type targeting fix needs validation — are jewelers willing to sell competing product?
  • Gulshan vs ISB I-10 comparison needs clean retest with matched shop types
  • Robbery paranoia (K-11 type) — how prevalent is this in Karachi vs isolated?
Feed-forward → EXP-008 Round 3: Trust-resolved pitch with (1) named institutional anchor + (2) vault certificate physical artifact + (3) Easy Money framing. Target gold-adjacent shops (jewelers, savings agents) in both ISB and Karachi. n=20 minimum. Resolve commission rate before field work.